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College football win totals released in Vegas

Written by David Purdum on .

Vegas has spoken.

Cantor Gaming became the first Nevada sportsbook to post college football season win totals Friday.

  • Five teams are set at 10.5: LSU, Alabama, Southern Cal, Oregon and Florida State.
  • UNLV had the lowest, with the Rebels projected with just 2.5 wins. Duke and Ole Miss were set at 3.5, and Kentucky at 4.5.
  • There doesn't appear to be an overwhelming favorite in the Big Ten with Urban Meyer's Buckeyes, Nebraska, Michigan State, Michigan and Wisconsin all set at 8.5. 
  • SEC newcomers Texas A&M and Missouri were set at 7.5, the same as Florida, Mississippi State and Auburn.
  • Big 12 newcombers West Virginia and TCU are both set at 8.5, the same at Texas and Oklahoma State.
  • Georgia was a notable omission, as oddsmakers struggle to gauge the impact of the Bulldogs' off-the-field issues.
  • Embattled Penn State was set at 6.5 under first-year coach Bill O'Brien. The Nittany Lions have not won fewer than seven games since 2004.
  • Mike Leach's first Washington State team is projected at 5.5 wins.

 Cantor operates multiple Las Vegas sportsbooks, including at the Venetian, M Resort, Tropicana, Hard Rock and more. 

2012 College Football Season Win Totals

(Courtesy of Cantor Gaming. Conference championship and bowl games do not count).

SEC

LSU 10.5 (-175u)

Alabama 10.5 (-165u) 

Arkansas 8.5 (-170o)

South Carolina 8.5 (-130o) 

Florida 7.5 (-170o)

Mississippi State 7.5 (-125u)

Tennessee 7.5 (-160u)

Missouri 7.5 (-160u)

Auburn 7.5 (-140u)

Texas A&M 7.5 (-175u)

Vanderbilt 5.5 (-165o) 

Kentucky 4.5 (-130u)

Mississippi 3.5 (-160o)

 

ACC 

Florida State 10.5 (-210u)

Virginia Tech 9.5 (-150u)

Clemson 8.5 (-140o)

North Carolina 7.5 (-130o)

Georgia Tech 7.5 (-125o) 

North Carolina State 7.5 (-120)

Miami 6.5 (-125o)

Pac 12 

USC 10.5 (-135u)

Oregon 10.5 (-165u)

Stanford 7.5 (-150o)

Washington 7.5 (-155u)

California 6.5 (-135o)

UCLA 5.5 (-150o)

Washington State 5.5 (-125o)

Arizona State 5.5 (-150u)

Big East

Louisville 8.5 (-140o)

Rutgers 7.5 (-150u)

Pitt 7.5 (-150)

Cincinnati 7.5

B1G

Illinois 6.5 (-120o)

Penn State 6.5 (-150o)

Iowa 7.5 (-140)

Nebraska 8.5 (-125o)

Michigan State 8.5 (-140o)

Michigan 8.5 (-160o)

Wisconsin 8.5 (-160o)

Ohio State 8.5 (-180o)

Big 12

Oklahoma State 8.5 (-160u) 

TCU 8.5 (-145u)

West Virginia 8.5 (-160o)

Texas 8.5 (-160o)

Oklahoma 9.5 (-190o)

Kansas State 7.5 (-135u)

Other

Notre Dame 8.5 (-175u)

BYU 8.5 (-145u)

Boise State 9.5 (-120u) 

Nevada 8.5 (-160u)

Navy 7.5 (-150)

UNLV 2.5 (-170o)

54 comments
AllDayMGray
AllDayMGray

@geoffjBYU it warmed my heart tom find Utah omitted from the linked article

geoffjBYU
geoffjBYU

@AllDayMGray That's funny. I didn't even notice

vakaviti
vakaviti

@geoffjBYU that's regular season right? Too bad I don't gamble. 1-3 on road against tough teams, win everything else.

geoffjBYU
geoffjBYU

@vakaviti Yeah they do those for the 12 game regular season

BCSisBS
BCSisBS

@zbloxham that is a 2 million dollar under bet. Looks more like 7 to me.

zbloxham
zbloxham

@BCSisBS You could be right, but I have a feeling this will be BYU's best team since 2007.

BCSisBS
BCSisBS

@zbloxham 6 free wins on that schedule for sure though

BCSisBS
BCSisBS

@zbloxham well Vegas usually has it's shit together, upon further inspection 10 wins isn't out of the question, I say 7 though

bjspack
bjspack

@zbloxham @BCSisBS Don't forget that Vegas doesn't always try to pick the most likely outcome, they pick the one that maximizes betting

zbloxham
zbloxham

@BCSisBS I never mistrust Vegas. They know the biz. I think 9 is the most likely total.

KingRanch51
KingRanch51

@BYUfootblog @zbloxham so if I throw down 100 bucks how much will I get back?

HoyosRevenge
HoyosRevenge

@BYUfootblog @zbloxham Seriously explain to me why 9 is a lock?

geoffjBYU
geoffjBYU

@HoyosRevenge @BYUfootblog @zbloxham It's a lock because this BYU team is better than most people realize.

HoyosRevenge
HoyosRevenge

@geoffjBYU @BYUfootblog @zbloxham Except for the guys who make a living evaluating this stuff. 8.5 is a solid number,

stampadres
stampadres

@BYUfootblog @hoyosrevenge @geoffjbyu @zbloxham @corryhatch when you lose to CU at home who knows? USC UW and a crap team

BYUfootblog
BYUfootblog

@stampadres @hoyosrevenge @geoffjbyu @zbloxham @corryhatch which are Utah's 3 losses?

stampadres
stampadres

@BYUfootblog @hoyosrevenge @geoffjbyu @zbloxham @corryhatch I think Utah goes 8-4 with a chance for 9-3 and BYU goes 7-5 with a chance of 8

BYUfootblog
BYUfootblog

@HoyosRevenge @geoffjBYU @zbloxham @Corryhatch I think we go 6-0 at home. Add W's against SJSU and NMSU, and win 1/4 of Utah, Boise, ND, GT

geoffjBYU
geoffjBYU

@HoyosRevenge @BYUfootblog @zbloxham Heheh. We shall see soon enough.

HoyosRevenge
HoyosRevenge

@geoffjBYU @BYUfootblog @zbloxham Except there isn't a lot of reason to think you're winning in SLC.

geoffjBYU
geoffjBYU

@HoyosRevenge @BYUfootblog @zbloxham It's your job to think that as a Ute fan. It's my job think the SLC game is a W for BYU this year.

HoyosRevenge
HoyosRevenge

@geoffjBYU @BYUfootblog @zbloxham I think its probably less than a coin flip.

geoffjBYU
geoffjBYU

@HoyosRevenge @BYUfootblog @zbloxham I'd say the over is a solid bet. But that assumes team isn't decimated by injuries of course.

HoyosRevenge
HoyosRevenge

@geoffjBYU @BYUfootblog @zbloxham Yeah but y'all are pretending 9 is a guarantee, and I don't see it.

geoffjBYU
geoffjBYU

@HoyosRevenge @BYUfootblog @zbloxham They say 9 is as likely as 8 already.

brendanloy
brendanloy

@zbloxham I’m thinking USC at 10.5 wins, pre-Pac-12 title game, pre-bowl, is a #SELL. I foresee 10-2 (eventually 12-2). Hope I’m wrong.

zbloxham
zbloxham

@brendanloy I am really bullish on the Trojans. I would be really surprised if they didn't cover it.

brando_minich
brando_minich

@zbloxham @brendanloy I have the under at PSU’s 0 over/under.

HoyosRevenge
HoyosRevenge

@zbloxham I'll take the under, thank you very much.

zbloxham
zbloxham

@HoyosRevenge Shocking.

HoyosRevenge
HoyosRevenge

@zbloxham I don't even think that is an outlandish view to have.

bjspack
bjspack

@vakaviti Yes BYU is the best team Utah beat all year, and is the 2nd best team they will play in 2012

vakaviti
vakaviti

@HoyosRevenge @bjspack @zbloxham Tulsa. And wasn't BYU Utah's best win per RPI? Can their fans admit that yet?

bjspack
bjspack

@HoyosRevenge @zbloxham 1 blowout, 2 close losses (against respectable teams), and 10 wins (many dominant) leads to top 25 finish and 31 RPI

bjspack
bjspack

@HoyosRevenge @zbloxham losing by 10 after giving up 21 from special teams is hardly a blowout, Utah was however a blowout

HoyosRevenge
HoyosRevenge

@bjspack @zbloxham Oh lord, yes BYU was right there the blowouts were an illusion

bjspack
bjspack

@HoyosRevenge @zbloxham Also Three mishaps on punt snaps (leading to 21 points) makes it seem worse than it was, BYU was not outmatched

HoyosRevenge
HoyosRevenge

@bjspack @zbloxham Well its a bit different than scoring late to make it 28

bjspack
bjspack

@HoyosRevenge @zbloxham You're right, my bad, it was 10-7

HoyosRevenge
HoyosRevenge

@bjspack @zbloxham How as it 14-7 BYU when BYU only scored 10 points?

bjspack
bjspack

@HoyosRevenge @zbloxham What's your point? The BYU Utah game was 14-7 for BYU at one point, doesn't change the outcome

HoyosRevenge
HoyosRevenge

@bjspack @zbloxham Yeah and it was 35-10 at one point.

HoyosRevenge
HoyosRevenge

@bjspack @zbloxham You mean the TCU game that was 35-10 was close.

HoyosRevenge
HoyosRevenge

@bjspack @zbloxham And if only this debate had anything at all to do with Utah.

bjspack
bjspack

@HoyosRevenge @zbloxham Who did Utah beat regular season besides BYU? Not a single FBS team with a winning record, and lost to RPI 121 CO

bjspack
bjspack

@HoyosRevenge @zbloxham Beat everyone that they were supposed to, and most of them very convincingly, not far off on TCU or TX either.

HoyosRevenge
HoyosRevenge

@bjspack @zbloxham and who was your best win with that awesome RPI?

bjspack
bjspack

@zbloxham @HoyosRevenge RPI at end of season last year, Oregon St 108, Washington St 106, BYU 31

zbloxham
zbloxham

@HoyosRevenge Vegas has Wazzu at 5.5 wins. Love Leach but they will struggle protecting Tuel. Plus D is slow.

HoyosRevenge
HoyosRevenge

@zbloxham I think you're over estimating that Wazzu game to think its a lock down.

zbloxham
zbloxham

@HoyosRevenge Your view is not outlandish, it is just absolutely unsurprising. WSU and OSU are wins. Just need one of those 4 road games.

HoyosRevenge
HoyosRevenge

@zbloxham You'll need three wins out of ND, GT, OSU, Boise, Utah and Wazzu to get to nine, provided there are no upsets.

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