Tom Brady is on pace to have by far the worst statistical season of his 13-year career as the New England Patriots starting quarterback.
So at the age of 36, is Brady finally beginning to decline? The numbers indicate it's possible, because his completion percentage, touchdown percentage, yards per attempt and passer rating all dropped off last season and seem to be continuing in that downward direction this season.
Of course, it doesn't help that three of Brady's top five receivers right now -- Josh Boyce, Kenbrell Thompkins and Aaron Dobson -- are straight-up rookies. Danny Amendola has missed three of the first five games and he hasn't had an overwhelming amount of support from a solid-but-not-spectacular running game.
Brady has had 17 passes dropped thus far, which ranks second in the league behind only Sam Bradford. But even when you take those drops into account, Pro Football Focus has determined that Brady has been merely the 32nd most accurate quarterback in the league this season, behind guys like Christian Ponder, Geno Smith, Jake Locker, Cam Newton, Brandon Weeden and Matt Schaub.
He's facing a little more pressure, per PFF, but still less than most of his quarterback peers. And yet he has completed just five deep passes, which ranks in the bottom half of the league.
Yes, he's on pace to give up more pressures than last year, but by only a slim margin. And yes, his receivers are on pace to drop more passes than last year, but only by a margin of half a drop per game.
Maybe it's the competition? The Bengals defense is good and the weather was certainly a factor as Brady's touchdown streak ended Sunday, but the Bucs, Falcons and Bills rank in the middle of the pack defensively and none rank higher than 10th against the pass.
So the reality is that Brady is probably declining a little bit, but his supporting cast hasn't made things easy. He's playing with a lot of inexperienced dudes, and intangible factors like bad routes and poor communication have definitely played a role.
there are quarterbacks who sparkle one year and then lay dormant for 5.
Not the case with Tom Brady he shines every year even if his stats are not that good
no matter who he is playing with or if his hand or shoulder is swollen or not
you can hate him , hate the patriots but you can't take away what they are WINNERS
I am his biggest fan no matter what. Go Tommy!!!!!
Did any of you see the pictures of his throwing hand, that he says is fine. It clearly looked swollen and if he's playing with an injured throwing shoulder and/or hand, that would explain what is going on, along with the 'getting use to ' the new receivers! Dobson actually caught several passes this week!
After this Sunday, the answer is ABSOLUTELY NOTHING, except maybe that he is human and we have been very spoiled by his great performances that for some reason people seem to think he can win games all by himself! Football is a TEAM sport and Brady is a great quarterback but he can't win games alone....someone has to catch the ball like Thompkins did against the Saints!
I CAN'T BELIEVE WE ARE HAVING THIS CONVERSATION YES THERE IS JUST A SLIGHT REPEAT A VERY SLIGHT DECLINE WITH BRADY'S NUMBERS WHAT DO YOU EXPECT WHEN YOU HAVE BEEN TAKING AWAY HIS TOP TARGETS FROM HIM
I couldn't agree with you more, they let Wes Welker walk just because BB didn't like the guy so they brought in Amendola not that he isn't good but I don't think has the stamina or resilience of Welker. They don't want to spend the money on a wide receiver, they cut Loyd , they let Woodhead go who is Brady supposed to pass to ? plus Josh Mc Daniels is calling too many stupid plays we are too predictable we don't have an hurry up offense anymore how can we win !!!!!! Brady haters please shut up and do the homework.
Why is it every time Brady has a bad game you all in the media jump up and decide he's 'declining'. Thompkins dropped 7 passes in the first game against the Bills....and that was only after I started counting in the 2nd quarter and how can anyone determine Brady's accuracy....the rookies are NOT running their routes right....that was clear with Dobson in Cincinnati! He was running down the middle and Brady was passing to the post. Brady had to get the ball out quick or he would not get it out at all against that defense! One of the things that the Patriots are known for is their precision routes that is why Chad Johnson/Ochocino didn't make it. Brady looked tired and as if he had lost his best friend after that game against the Bengals....oh yeah he did...he's in Denver catching passes from P. Manning! That was the dumbest move I have seen the Pats make in many years...and I survived the 90's as a Patriots fan where we had NO quarterback until Bledsoe came to town! Cut Brady some slack, he's been carrying this team for a long time and he has to be tired!
Josh Mc Daniels is calling some stupid F.. plays the only tome on the red zone last sunday does a play action and
doesn't target a tight end WHAT!!!!! the hell is he thinking that cost him the game stop making designer plays without the players that can do them. They run the ball up the middle way too many times he is becoming too predictable where the hell was Austin Collie ? Even if the Gronk comes back if he keeps oncalling dumm plays
it wont matter we will keep loosing games.
We were talking ON the field not off...he also has 3 adorable children but that has nothing to do with what happens on the gridiron!
No, there is something very clearly going on the mind of Tom Brady, and I wish it wasn't so.
Whatever it is, I hope we can see his greatness again.